Sunday, April 20, 2025

Early afternoon thunderstorms possible


⚠ SUNDAY MORNING UPDATE: Here's what I expect today:
🔴 MORNING: Good chance a few thunderstorms roll through mid/late morning; could be noisy but not expecting them to be severe. I think they will run between say Fort Scott KS and north east to Warrensburg; anywhere in that area.

🔴 EARLY AFTERNOON: Thunderstorms cluster up again 1-3PM all throughout the yellow area below. The severe threat is going to be conditional again though - on whether enough instability gets together. One clue will be if there's a big gap in the rainfall late morning/early afternoon. That would allow instability to build increasing severe chances for the afternoon hours.

🔴 LATER AFTERNOON: Storms could move into a more linear system somewhere around a Johnson-Henry-St. Clair-Cedar county line north to south. *If* this does occur *and* instability is sufficient, strong damaging winds & tornado spin-ups aren't out of the question as the system moves east/northeast.

👉👉👉TLDR: All modes of severe weather are possible (ping-pong/golf ball hail, 70mph winds, tornados) between 1-3PM today.

-Greg@660weather

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