For the winter of 2026–2027 (December through February), the NOAA Climate Prediction Center and regional forecasts call for a warmer-than-average temperature trend overall, influenced by a strong El Niño pattern
NOAA / National Weather Service: Favors above-average temperatures across much of Missouri, though northern and central sections may still experience brief, sharp Arctic cold snaps.
Coldest Periods: Expected during mid-to-late January and early March according to the Old Farmer's Almanac.
Precipitation and Snowfall
Precipitation: Generally trending near-to-above-normal due to an active southern-shifted storm track.
Snowfall: Projected to be near-to-below-normal overall because of prevailing warmth, with peak wintry mix or snow chances targeted for early December, late January, and late February.
Ice Risk: Because cold air intrusions can clash with active southern moisture tracks, Missouri maintains an elevated risk for freezing rain and ice events (particularly across southern parts and the Ozarks).
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